Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000164 0.000182 0.000200 0.000222 0.000246 0.000272 0.000303
2025-09-14 0.000134 0.000160 0.000190 0.000227 0.000273 0.000327 0.000397
2025-09-21 0.000112 0.000140 0.000176 0.000223 0.000284 0.000362 0.000470
2025-09-28 0.000094 0.000124 0.000161 0.000214 0.000287 0.000384 0.000526
2025-10-05 0.000086 0.000116 0.000157 0.000217 0.000303 0.000425 0.000612
2025-10-12 0.000079 0.000111 0.000155 0.000222 0.000323 0.000471 0.000711
2025-10-19 0.000072 0.000103 0.000148 0.000219 0.000329 0.000498 0.000783
2025-10-26 0.000067 0.000099 0.000146 0.000222 0.000345 0.000540 0.000883
2025-11-02 0.000061 0.000093 0.000140 0.000219 0.000351 0.000567 0.000963
2025-11-09 0.000057 0.000088 0.000137 0.000219 0.000361 0.000601 0.001058
2025-11-16 0.000053 0.000084 0.000132 0.000217 0.000366 0.000628 0.001143
2025-11-23 0.000049 0.000078 0.000125 0.000210 0.000363 0.000639 0.001199
2025-11-30 0.000046 0.000075 0.000123 0.000210 0.000374 0.000678 0.001319
2025-12-07 0.000044 0.000073 0.000122 0.000215 0.000392 0.000734 0.001482
2025-12-14 0.000040 0.000068 0.000117 0.000211 0.000395 0.000759 0.001585
2025-12-21 0.000037 0.000063 0.000110 0.000203 0.000388 0.000765 0.001647
2025-12-28 0.000035 0.000062 0.000109 0.000205 0.000403 0.000818 0.001823
2026-01-04 0.000034 0.000061 0.000110 0.000210 0.000424 0.000885 0.002043
2026-01-11 0.000032 0.000058 0.000106 0.000207 0.000427 0.000913 0.002173
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000056 0.000105 0.000210 0.000442 0.000972 0.002392
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000054 0.000102 0.000207 0.000446 0.001004 0.002548
2026-02-01 0.000028 0.000052 0.000100 0.000207 0.000455 0.001050 0.002747
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000050 0.000098 0.000205 0.000459 0.001082 0.002914